Boots & Sabers

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0831, 22 May 20

Lockdowns Destroy Livelihoods and Kill More People, Study Shows

Interesting. Follow the science.

Coronavirus lockdowns have ‘destroyed millions of livelihoods’ but failed to alter the course of the pandemic given many US states have seen lower infection rates after easing restrictions, a JP Morgan study has claimed.

The statistical analysis has raised questions about the effectiveness of the lockdowns put in place across much of the United States two months ago to stop the spread of COVID-19.

It suggests that the lockdown measures have not only resulted in economic devastation but could have also resulted in more COVID-19 deaths.

The strict stay-at-home measures put in place by the governors of most states in mid-March has so far seen nearly 39 million American lose their jobs and forced businesses to close.

[…]

Many states, including Alabama, Wisconsin and Colorado, have seen lower infection reproduction rates (R rates) after lockdown measures were lifted, according to the report.

Meanwhile, Nevada, Rhode Island, Texas, North Dakota and Pennsylvannia are the states where infection rates increased after lockdowns ended, according to the report.

Infection rates have continued to decline even once a lag period for new infections to become visible is factored in, according to the report.

A chart included in the report shows that many US states have seen a lower rate of transmission (R rate) after full-scale lockdowns were ended.

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0831, 22 May 2020

14 Comments

  1. jjf

    This ain’t over.

  2. Kevin Scheunemann

    Liberals in denial about trade-offs an liberty destroying Marxist action.

    Figures.

    Why do those who thirst for dictatorial/Stallings like control always ignore the data on the other side?

    Its disgusting.

  3. Mar

    Yeah, it is, jjf. I know you are hoping for more deaths so it will hurt President Trump, but the worst is over.

  4. jjf

    Oh, Mar, you are so tiresome in your repetition of things you know to be false.

    You think the virus pandemic is “over.”  Show your work!

  5. Mar

    Show your work jjf that’s not over.
    But my evidence is that we are a cleaner nation with all the disinfecting going on. Most people are practicing social distancing, when possible. We have many people wearing masks. We know the hospital system will not be overrun. More people are washing their hands and more frequently.
    Where is your evidence?

  6. Mark Hoefert

    @ JJF – This ain’t over.

    Neither is the Hong Kong Flu pandemic of 1968.  50 years later remnants are still walking around and taking out the occasional victim. My class is now preplanning our 50th reunion for next year – none of us have any recollection that we survived such an event like that – we were like 16 years old at the time.  Major media outlets were the daily newspaper, TV newscasts (no time shifting, so you had to be sitting in from of the TV when the news was on), and newsmagazines like Time/Newsweek, and photojournalism magazine (LIFE).  And there were so many other things going on, that issues like this were not front and center.

    It came in two waves – about 100,000 US citizens died.  Spread pretty rapidly because of the Viet Nam war going on, so US soldiers were returning from South Asia on a regular basis.

    100,000 people died in the US. The population at the time was 200 Million, which works out to 500 deaths per million.  Today we are at 330 Million, so the equivalent death toll would be 165,000.  Currently we are at 292 deaths per million, and are closing in on 100,000 deaths.  Yesterday there were 1400 deaths reported in the United States – at that rate it will take another 45 days to scale up to the Hong Kong flu epidemic.

    For perspective, 28,680 soldiers died in 1968/1969: 11,780/16,900).  Those were the days of young people launching big block muscle cars into roadside trees, ravines, and each other.  In 1968/1969 there were 106,268 traffic fatalities (52,725/53,543).

     

  7. jjf

    Mar, have you seen yesterday’s numbers from DHS in Wisconsin?  Best day ever, if you think infections are a good thing.

    Mark – cool story, bro.

  8. Mar

    Infections mean nothing, jjf. Hospitalizations and deaths are more important indicators.

  9. jjf

    Oh, I get it!  When the numerator looks good, argue the numerator.  When the denominator looks good, argue the denominator.

    How’s that drug doing for you?

  10. Mar

    That’s the problem with jjf, he believes in worst case scenarios if it hurts President Trump and is disappointed when the experts are wrong.
    More deaths please, jjf wishes for.

  11. Kevin Scheunemann

    jjf,

    That is what happens when you cede to the religion of “experts”.    Health “experts” alone rarely make good public policy.  That is the unrepentant sin of liberal cult, that health is the only public concern.

  12. Mar

    Gee, some scientists lost their gravy train.
    So, go find another place to conduct their experiments.

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